Decision-Making under Uncertainty
Education Explorer
Online Courses, Workshops, and Speaking Events
International Defense, Uncertainty, and Artificial Intelligence
ONLINE COURSES
An important reason for anyone to take this course is to clarify what is meant by uncertainty. We will demonstrate that what is most often thought of as “uncertainty” most often represents an unwillingness to go beyond a certain point of vision and thought in exploring what may actually be.
To effectively manage under uncertainty, strategists, policy developers, and political leaders must be willing to fully explore the possible, rather than reflexively dismiss many of the new challenges that an ever-changing world is throwing at us as simply impossible to comprehend or deal with.
All too often, decision makers have absolved themselves from post-event criticism and have even been forgiven by others impacted, when they have resorted to using the “black swan” card. This is rather than instead admitting to poorly exercised foresight. We consider that a great many of these future uncertainties are actually “known-unknowns” or “inevitable surprises”. A conscious re-positioning of uncertain hazards from “unknown unknowns” to “known unknowns” can help mitigate their impact through effective foresight aware contingency planning.
The course will effectively demonstrate hybrid intelligence (human and machine intelligence) in strategic foresight using mainstream Generative-Artificial Intelligence Tools to offer practical learnings.
TAILORED FOR ALL PRIVATE, PUBLIC AND NOT-FOR-PROFIT STAKEHOLDERS AND DECISION-MAKERS, ESPECIALLY ANALYSTS, STRATEGISTS AND POLICY-MAKERS.
ALL ONLINE COURSES ARE TAILORED TO YOUR SCHEDULE NEEDS.
LEVEL: INTRODUCTORY TO ADVANCED
PREREQUISITES: NONE
LANGUAGE: ENGLISH
SUBJECT: DECISION-MAKING, UNCERTAINTY AND FORESIGHT WITH AI.
$ 150 PER PARTICIPANT FOR INTRODUCTORY LEVEL (MINIMUM 5 PARTICIPANTS)
$ 450 PER PARTICIPANT FOR ADVANCED LEVEL (MINIMUM 5 PARTICIPANTS).
What you will learn in this course
In this course, you will learn the structural components of uncertainty, including where the uncertainty lies along the risk/uncertainty spectrum.
Moreover, you will learn about problem status, time-based criteria, the evidence base, and the time horizon.
The course will give you a foundation for working with the scenarios, such as scenario Lenses, scenario derivatives (2nd and 3rd order scenarios), and behavioral factors including cognitive biases, dissonance, anomie, and alienation. You will also gain insight into how to navigate through this behavioral minefield.
The course will effectively demonstrate hybrid intelligence (human and machine intelligence) in strategic foresight using mainstream Generative-Artificial Intelligence Tools to offer practical learnings.
The course will provide you with the following learning outcomes:
✔️ Identify what can be the main pre-conditions by which a perceived “unknown-unknown” (or not foreseen) situation can emerge.
✔️ How can we thereby better develop foresight using mainstream Generative-Artificial Intelligence Tools?
✔️ What scenario lenses can be used when exploring uncertain situations?
✔️ The behavioral factors we ought to consider when analyzing the human responses to uncertainty?
✔️ Practitioners seeking to make better decisions under uncertainty, will find this course to be a very useful guide.
How the course and planning works
Collaborate with Hybrid Intelligence World on your organizational needs
When you, as a representative of your organization or community, would like to enroll in this course, we at Hybrid Intelligence World will design your online program tailored to your organizational and scheduling needs.
This Hybrid Intelligence online course is one of a series of online courses to help you master a new skill to be ready to meet the requirements for human-machine interaction in the Fifth Industrial Revolution.
To begin, enroll in this course directly, or review related courses under education bundling and choose the one you'd like to start with. When you subscribe to a course, you’re automatically suggested a complete education bundle for your organization. It’s okay to complete just one course; you can always sign up again for more courses within the education bundle and at a reduced price.
The teaching
The teaching is a combination of theory sessions and practical application sessions.
Hands-on project
The course also includes a hands-on project relevant to your working situation. You'll need to successfully finish and present the project(s) to complete the course.
Earn a Hybrid Intelligence World Certificate
When you finish every online course and complete the hands-on project, you'll earn a Hybrid Intelligence World Certificate that you can share with prospective employers and your professional network.
We suggest 3 more online courses combined with this Education Explorer
Intelligence Engineering and Strategic Options Analysis
Intelligence and Multi-INT approaches
Dr. Bruce Garvey, PhD, MBA
Bio
Dr. Bruce Garvey provides specialist support for organizations facing high levels of uncertainty and complexity; his knowledge base allows him to address issues at a strategic level.
Much of the development work relating to his methods emanates from a Ph.D. research program at Imperial College, which addressed problem structuring and decision support methods pertaining to technological forecasting, creativity and innovation, futures, scenario planning, and system uncertainties.
This knowledge base is supported by over 35 years of experience in the business and corporate sector.
Assessment score (1–10)
Impact score: 7
Demand score: 8
Start your Learning
✔️ Link to the textbook Uncertainty Deconstructed here
✔️ Self-paced learning options
We suggest more Explorer Programs combined with this Education Explorer
Science Explorer
Decision-making under Uncertainty
Intelligence Engineering and Strategic Option Analysis
Intelligence and Multi-INT Approaches
Education Explorer
Intelligence Engineering and Strategic Option Analysis
WORKSHOPS AND SPEAKING EVENTS
Hybrid Intelligence World organizes workshops and speaking events for this Education Explorer:
Decision-Making under Uncertainty.
Takeaways from this workshop or speaking event
In this workshop or speaking event, we will challenge the common perception that uncertainty is something that we have little awareness of or control over with the proposition that the majority of future events are foreseeable. when seen as ‘inevitable surprises’ or ‘known-unknowns. Thus, we can mitigate the worst impacts of uncertainty by integrating AI into our uncertainty analysis.
The workshop or speaking event will effectively demonstrate hybrid intelligence (human and machine intelligence) in strategic foresight using mainstream Generative-Artificial Intelligence Tools to offer practical learnings.
There are 3 main takeaways from this workshop and speaking event:
✔️How scenario lenses can be used when exploring uncertain situations ?
✔️ What behavioural factors ought we consider when analysing the human responses to uncertainty?
✔️ Practitioners seeking to make better decisions under uncertainty, will find this workshop or speaking event to be a very useful guide.
How the workshop or speaking event works
Collaborate with Hybrid Intelligence World on your organizational needs
Workshops typically include short introductory presentations, with an hour to a full week of workshops tailored to customer and end-user requirements.
When you, as a representative of your organization or community, sign up for this workshop or speaking event with Hybrid Intelligence World, we will design your program tailored to your organizational and scheduling needs.
To begin, enroll in this workshop or speaking event directly, or review related Workshops and Speaking Events under Event Bundling and choose the one you'd like to start with.
When you subscribe to a Workshop or Speaking Event, you will automatically be suggested a complete event bundle for your organization.
It’s okay to complete just one event; you can always sign up again for more events within the Event bundling at a reduced price.
The Event
The workshop or speaking event is mostly focused on practical application sessions.
Hands-on Project
The workshop will also include a hands-on project relevant to your working situation.
Earn a Hybrid Intelligence World Certificate
When you finish every event and complete the hands-on project when selecting workshops, you'll earn a Hybrid Intelligence World Certificate that you can share with prospective employers and your professional network.
We suggest 3 more workshops and speaking events combined with this Education Explorer
Intelligence Engineering and Strategic Options Analysis
Intelligence and Multi-INT approaches
Dr. Bruce Garvey
Bio
Dr. Bruce Garvey provides specialist support for organizations facing high levels of uncertainty and complexity; his knowledge base allows him to address issues at a strategic level.
Much of the development work relating to his methods emanates from a Ph.D. research program at Imperial College, which addressed problem structuring and decision support methods pertaining to technological forecasting, creativity and innovation, futures, scenario planning, and systems uncertainties.
This knowledge base is supported by over 35 years of experience in the business and corporate sector.
Assessment score (1–10)
Impact score: 7
Demand score: 8
Start your learning today
✔️ Link to the textbook Uncertainty Deconstructed here
✔️ Self-paced learning options
LEVEL: INTRODUCTORY TO ADVANCED
PREREQUISITES: NONE
LANGUAGE: ENGLISH
SUBJECT: DECISION-MAKING, UNCERTAINTY AND FORESIGHT WITH AI.
$ 1250 PER 1-2 HOURS PRESENTATION UP TO 15 PARTICIPANTS
$ 3250 PER DAY UP TO 15 PARTICIPANTS
FOR GROUPS OVER 15 PARTICIPANTS WE OFFER ATTRACTIVE PRICING OPTIONS.
